ModelSpec is an analysis of alternatives for AI models: it decides which models fit a job from your requirements, sourced benchmarks and real cost, and shows its work.

Coding, best available

Find the active coding model with the strongest software-engineering evidence, whatever it costs.

Worked example as of 2026-09-23, from the public data image.

Strongest coding evidence, cost no object.

Requirements

Preferences

Applied template spec
spec_version
1
where
  • model.class = text-generator
  • model.lifecycle = active
optimize
weights
software_engineering
1.0

Worked answer

Decision status: partial.

Tied on the evidence

probability bands: a model joins the leader when P(its score >= the leader's) >= 0.25 under the score posteriors; a weighted capability with an 80% interval wider than 2.8 is not enough evidence

Tie-breakers describe members of the tie. They do not establish a winner.

This is a partial answer. Unknown facts or missing objective evidence can leave eligible candidates unranked.

probability bands: a model joins the leader when P(its score >= the leader's) >= 0.25 under the score posteriors; a weighted capability with an 80% interval wider than 2.8 is not enough evidence

Score and score interval use the objective's dimensionless normalised units. Cost per task is for the engine-selected offering and the applied spec's task size. When task size is omitted, the engine uses its documented default. P(best) is the engine probability. Unavailable means the engine did not return a value. Thin evidence is undetermined and is not a recommendation.

Best band

ModelScoreScore intervalP(best)Cost per task, USDCapability estimates and intervals
anthropic/claude-opus-5-51.0[0.661373, 1.338627]0.21093750.24
  • software_engineering: 1.300758259; interval [0.373384859, 2.22813166]; benchmarks 4; direct benchmarks 2
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5-50.892297[0.538219, 1.246374]0.10156250.12
  • software_engineering: 1.005798442; interval [0.036112567, 1.975484317]; benchmarks 3; direct benchmarks 2
openai/gpt-6-astra0.788696[0.546009, 1.031383]0.05468750.6
  • software_engineering: 0.722074908; interval [0.05744525, 1.386704566]; benchmarks 7; direct benchmarks 2
anthropic/claude-opus-4-70.784952[0.517382, 1.052522]0.035156250.3
  • software_engineering: 0.711822213; interval [-0.020952777, 1.444597204]; benchmarks 5; direct benchmarks 2

Rest band

ModelScoreScore intervalP(best)Cost per task, USDCapability estimates and intervals
anthropic/claude-fable-50.77513[0.526207, 1.024053]0.035156250.6
  • software_engineering: 0.68492301; interval [0.003215236, 1.366630785]; benchmarks 6; direct benchmarks 2
anthropic/claude-fable-5-10.761648[0.518942, 1.004355]0.019531250.6
  • software_engineering: 0.648000878; interval [-0.016682066, 1.312683821]; benchmarks 7; direct benchmarks 2
anthropic/claude-opus-50.695731[0.483883, 0.907578]0.003906250.3
  • software_engineering: 0.467477024; interval [-0.11269439, 1.047648438]; benchmarks 7; direct benchmarks 3
moonshot/kimi-k30.657991[0.404227, 0.911755]0.0Unavailable
  • software_engineering: 0.364121531; interval [-0.330844073, 1.059087136]; benchmarks 5; direct benchmarks 2
zhipu/glm-5-30.592601[0.344304, 0.840899]0.00.0736
  • software_engineering: 0.185044748; interval [-0.494949533, 0.86503903]; benchmarks 6; direct benchmarks 2
openai/gpt-5-6-sol0.561534[0.345877, 0.777191]0.00.24
  • software_engineering: 0.099962916; interval [-0.490641673, 0.690567505]; benchmarks 6; direct benchmarks 3
google/gemini-3-7-flash0.561464[0.313157, 0.809772]0.00781250.045
  • software_engineering: 0.099771765; interval [-0.580250011, 0.779793541]; benchmarks 6; direct benchmarks 2
google/gemini-3-8-flash0.480862[0.272647, 0.689077]0.00.045
  • software_engineering: -0.120968438; interval [-0.69119135, 0.449254473]; benchmarks 8; direct benchmarks 3
xai/grok-4-70.475687[0.137033, 0.814342]0.00.104
  • software_engineering: -0.135139749; interval [-1.062588258, 0.792308759]; benchmarks 3; direct benchmarks 1
openai/gpt-5-40.464587[0.242344, 0.686831]0.00.16
  • software_engineering: -0.165538069; interval [-0.774180651, 0.443104514]; benchmarks 9; direct benchmarks 3
anthropic/claude-opus-4-60.427499[0.20457, 0.650429]0.00.3
  • software_engineering: -0.267108807; interval [-0.877629968, 0.343412354]; benchmarks 9; direct benchmarks 3
meta/muse-spark-1-30.36989[0.04466, 0.69512]0.003906250.067
  • software_engineering: -0.424879214; interval [-1.31556301, 0.465804581]; benchmarks 3; direct benchmarks 1
google/gemini-3-5-flash0.350481[0.08644, 0.614521]0.00.096
  • software_engineering: -0.478034522; interval [-1.201143536, 0.245074492]; benchmarks 5; direct benchmarks 2
zhipu/glm-5-20.283716[0.063716, 0.503716]0.00.0736
  • software_engineering: -0.660878011; interval [-1.26337721, -0.058378812]; benchmarks 6; direct benchmarks 3
moonshot/kimi-k2-60.276595[-0.076158, 0.629349]0.00390625Unavailable
  • software_engineering: -0.680378733; interval [-1.646439083, 0.285681617]; benchmarks 4; direct benchmarks 1
deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro0.06661[-0.195962, 0.329182]0.00.06864
  • software_engineering: -1.255451879; interval [-1.974539251, -0.536364507]; benchmarks 5; direct benchmarks 2
google/gemini-3-1-pro-preview0.0[-0.255176, 0.255176]0.00.128
  • software_engineering: -1.437870949; interval [-2.136704195, -0.739037704]; benchmarks 7; direct benchmarks 2

Thin evidence: undetermined

ModelScoreScore intervalP(best)Cost per task, USDCapability estimates and intervals
openai/gpt-6-sol0.628205[-0.099663, 1.356073]0.13281250.12
  • software_engineering: 0.282550248; interval [-1.710810354, 2.275910849]; benchmarks 1; direct benchmarks 0
qwen/qwen3-8-max-09020.626192[-0.101676, 1.35406]0.160156250.104
  • software_engineering: 0.277037196; interval [-1.716323405, 2.270397798]; benchmarks 1; direct benchmarks 0
qwen/qwen3-8-flash-next0.565178[-0.16269, 1.293046]0.10546875Unavailable
  • software_engineering: 0.109941805; interval [-1.883418797, 2.103302407]; benchmarks 1; direct benchmarks 0
deepseek/deepseek-v3-10.500692[-0.118844, 1.120229]0.0546875Unavailable
  • software_engineering: -0.066660632; interval [-1.763340886, 1.630019622]; benchmarks 2; direct benchmarks 0
meta/muse-spark-1-10.424279[-0.193596, 1.042154]0.0468750.067
  • software_engineering: -0.275927718; interval [-1.968057691, 1.416202254]; benchmarks 3; direct benchmarks 1
google/gemini-2-5-flash0.288934[-0.258471, 0.836339]0.019531250.022
  • software_engineering: -0.646587938; interval [-2.145727294, 0.852551419]; benchmarks 3; direct benchmarks 0
microsoft/phi-40.033169[-0.586368, 0.652705]0.00390625Unavailable
  • software_engineering: -1.347034704; interval [-3.043714958, 0.34964555]; benchmarks 2; direct benchmarks 0

Unknown requirements

Some candidates may qualify. Missing facts:

Engine warnings

Omitted result rows: models 18; offerings 22. The bands above include all ranked models.

Decision dec_0180e89bde9bae9adb9de365 on public snapshot snap_05a963d2477ac2fb.

What this template teaches

With no cost term, the ranking is capability alone; the canvas still shows what each candidate costs.

The live board uses current data. Its answer can change as evidence changes.

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