ModelSpec is an analysis of alternatives for AI models: it decides which models fit a job from your requirements, sourced benchmarks and real cost, and shows its work.

Claude Fable 5 vs Claude Opus 5.5 for General assistant (best available), as of 2026-09-23

Find the active assistant whose open-ended responses people rate most highly.

Worked example as of 2026-09-23, from the public data image.

What the evidence says

The evidence separates them: Claude Opus 5.5 leads for General assistant (best available), with a 64% chance of being the best model in the full lineup for this job, as of 2026-09-23.

Claude Fable 5 has a 25% chance of matching or beating Claude Opus 5.5 on this job's objective.

probability bands: a model joins the leader when P(its score >= the leader's) >= 0.25 under the score posteriors; a weighted capability with an 80% interval wider than 2.8 is not enough evidence

Decision status: partial. P(best) and score intervals retain the full ranked lineup for this job, including models beyond this pair and models with thin evidence. Models with unknown objective values remain unranked and are outside this probability. P(best) is not a head-to-head probability. Separation from this challenger need not mean a unique best model across that lineup.

Scores and score intervals use the objective's dimensionless normalised units. Cost per task is in USD for the selected offering and the applied spec's task size. When task size is omitted, the engine uses its documented default. Unavailable means the engine returned no value.

ModelScoreScore intervalP(best), ranked job lineupCost per task, USDSelected offering: provider / region / tierCapability estimates and intervals
Claude Fable 50.870848[0.835874, 0.905823]10%0.6anthropic / global / standard
  • chat_preference: 1.035674964; interval [0.887124662, 1.184225266]; benchmarks 34; direct benchmarks 34
Claude Opus 5.51.0[0.760212, 1.239788]64%0.24anthropic / global / standard
  • chat_preference: 1.584232494; interval [0.565758585, 2.602706403]; benchmarks 1; direct benchmarks 1

Most preferred responses, cost no object.

Requirements

Preferences

Applied template spec
spec_version
1
where
  • model.class = text-generator
  • model.lifecycle = active
optimize
weights
chat_preference
1.0

Evidence for Claude Fable 5

BenchmarkVersionMeasurementUnitPublished intervalEvidence dateMeasurement conditionsProvenance
arena_elo_style_controltext_style_control / overall, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1505.68Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_businesstext_style_control / industry_business_and_management_and_financial_operations, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1501.64Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_chinesetext_style_control / chinese, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1553.41Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_codingtext_style_control / coding, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1552.39Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_creative_writingtext_style_control / creative_writing, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1504.13Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_documentdocument / overall, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1496.08Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_englishtext_style_control / english, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1513.18Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_experttext_style_control / expert, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1548.48Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_factualitytext_factuality / overall, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1484.03Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_frenchtext_style_control / french, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1523.06Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_germantext_style_control / german, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1497.46Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_hard_promptstext_style_control / hard_prompts, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1532.14Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_industry_entertainment_sports_mediatext_style_control / industry_entertainment_and_sports_and_media, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1495.88Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_industry_mathematicaltext_style_control / industry_mathematical, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1516.32Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_industry_software_it_servicestext_style_control / industry_software_and_it_services, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1539.64Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_instruction_followingtext_style_control / instruction_following, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1511.3Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_japanesetext_style_control / japanese, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1523.48Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_koreantext_style_control / korean, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1500.04Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_legaltext_style_control / industry_legal_and_government, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1512.36Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_longer_querytext_style_control / longer_query, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1521.41Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_mathtext_style_control / math, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1526.28Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_medicinetext_style_control / industry_medicine_and_healthcare, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1505.28Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_multi_turntext_style_control / multi_turn, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1517.56Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_non_englishtext_style_control / non_english, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1495.98Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_polishtext_style_control / polish, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1504.81Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_russiantext_style_control / russian, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1518.83Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_sciencetext_style_control / industry_life_and_physical_and_social_science, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1528.15Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_spanishtext_style_control / spanish, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1514.49Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_visionvision_style_control / overall, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1309.5Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_vision_diagramvision_style_control / diagram, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1355.26Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_vision_homeworkvision_style_control / homework, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1343.28Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_vision_ocrvision_style_control / ocr, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1325.36Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_sc_writingtext_style_control / industry_writing_and_literature_and_language, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1511.45Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-13
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source
arena_webdevwebdev / overall, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1626.83Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-23
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source

Missing facts for Claude Fable 5

Evidence for Claude Opus 5.5

BenchmarkVersionMeasurementUnitPublished intervalEvidence dateMeasurement conditionsProvenance
arena_webdevwebdev / overall, latest split, revision 1880dbebff5b1818.41Arena score (Elo scale)Unavailable2026-09-23
  • Effort: Unavailable
  • Subcategory: Unavailable
  • Harness: Unavailable
  • Measured by: independent_evaluator
  • Sample size: Unavailable
Source

Missing facts for Claude Opus 5.5

What this template teaches

One Must selects the class, one Prefer states what best means.

Decision dec_7f2a6357d164309eef5edbee on public snapshot snap_05a963d2477ac2fb.

Read the full dated job answer.

The live board uses current data. This link applies the template to its full lineup.

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